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美国智囊的原文如下:The Chinese way of war is indirect. In most cases, that means China will engage us with "soft power," as she is already doing on multiple fronts. But in the case of American intervention in a Taiwan crisis, what if a Chinese ballistic missile popped a nuke say, 100 miles from an advancing American carrier battle group? No one gets hurt, but the message would be loud and clear: keep coming and you're toast.

If we kept coming anyway and the Chinese did nuke a carrier, we would immediately face an asymmetrical situation. How would we respond? By nuking a Chinese carrier? China doesn't have any. If we drop a nuke on Chinese territory, we have initiated a strategic nuclear exchange. Is Taiwan worth Seattle or L.A.?

大意是:中国现在采取软力量对抗美国,设想一下如果中国在离航母群100里处引爆一枚核弹--不伤及航母,但又提醒“再介入,烤熟你”,如果真的再进,就真搞你一下。那美国人立刻就面临非对等战争了---炸中国的航母,中国没有。炸中国国土,那美国就首先引发战略核战争了--潜台词,地球完完。

台湾真的值得用西雅图或洛杉矶交换吗?




这倒是一个很好的提醒,我们可以这样干。----这个设想很具操作性,无论外交,还是我们的能力,与“用导弹打卫星”的创意有异曲同工之妙。


还请各位发表高见。


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